ACLI provides analysis, support, and guidance for businesses so they can implement, understand, and deploy advanced information-driven methods and strategies toward their unique goals.
FORECASTING, MODELING AND DATA MINING:
Increased knowledge of possible future events makes planning, execution, and situational understanding more tractable. These knowledge-based advantages can be applied to a variety of financial and engineering applications with excellent results. Advanced modeling of commodities, currency, yield, supply and demand, inventory and process flow can be very profitable. Additionally, database information discovery and knowledge extraction are excellent applications of our data mining technologies. For example, ACLI can determine the important drivers that characterize your specific goals, process, or business, as well as the variables that most affect their outcomes. This allows for better strategic planning and a more realistic goal development process -- thereby increasing goal attainment and success.
PROCESS MODELING AND OPTIMIZATION:
Certain production factories have processes that contain complex functional pathways leading from process inputs to product completion. Many times these processes can be optimized to run more efficiently or produce more product. The issue is strategic control. Questions such as: "Where is the best operating point and how should it be set?" are fertile grounds for data modeling, especially when complete theoretical models of the as-built plant are unavailable. Data collected from these plant processes can be used to develop models that can help implement optimal strategic set points. Additionally, virtual sensors can be developed which automatically monitor process quality and other characteristics without increasing data collection costs.
PROCESS VERIFICATION AND FORENSICS:
Many times expert knowledge, by plant engineers and operators, is challenged by the need to understand how multiple variables interact simultaneously. Accurate data analysis can uncover and isolate these relationships as well as discover inconsistencies in business or factory processes. This new information, and its corresponding understanding, opens up new avenues for cost control, efficiency improvement, and profitability enhancement. For example, if the data tells one story and the experts tell another story, then either the data is inaccurate or incomplete, the experts are mistaken, or the plant processes is not functioning properly. In any case, this situation requires resolution. Careful data analysis can reveal these inconsistencies and help to bring process performance to within stricter operating guidelines.
PROGRAM TRADING METHODS AND STRATEGIES:
ACLI performs technical and quantitative analysis of market conditions for short to long term forecasting or high frequency trading. We apply, develop, and test new and unique computational algorithms, probability theories, and information assumptions towards profitable financial engineering and program trading strategies. From day trading to economic and econometric analysis of the long-term, ACLI can provide the models of the data that are needed for success in market-oriented or trading system business models.
MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONS:
ACLI provides statistically accurate simulations of our client's unique processes. Many times, off-the-shelf simulations software packages are not flexible enough to model all of the nuances and other important factors of our client's complex business models. Our Monte Carlo simulations team can provide you with accurate simulation models that are developed from our client's unique statistics and operational databases and incorporate their unique functionalities. These accurate simulations help our clients develop contingencies strategies, improve operational understanding, and increase efficiency through time distance and other studies.
ENERGY FORECASTING:
Energy demand forecasting is a vital part of utility planning for profitability in today's more open electric power markets. In-depth knowledge of electricity demand reveals one side of the equation for supply and demand. The demand-side is very important because large amounts are power are traded between utilities on a daily basis in the futures market. Understanding the demand-side, and its variations with weather, time of year, holidays, and other factors, is very important for optimal pricing strategies and for continued reliable delivery -- including generating plant unit commitment tactics and strategies. ACLI's methods have proven particularly successful at determining system wide electric load demand and have helped a number of our clients improved profitability and reliability.
CLUSTER SEGMENTATION:
Databases subject to multidimensional clustering algorithms require careful scrutiny. Many times, there are co-linearities, spurious correlations, and data that are sparse in the characterization domain. These issues, and others, affect outcome accuracy and make careful testing and isolation of individual cause and effect relationships very difficult -- but extremely important. In these situations is easy to be misled into thinking that simple approaches are accurate when, in fact, they may only be accurate within a small range of their intended use. Business models that rely on data clustering or segmentation analysis deserve careful analysis of their model assumptions and implementations. ACLI can help through vigilant examination of software, data, or collection methodologies.
ECONOMIC AND RISK CONSULTING:
Many businesses can benefit by implementing and following a few important steps to reduce their financial risk exposures. Unfortunately, the effectiveness of many of these steps is dependent on economic conditions. A complete cost-benefit analysis and a full understanding of relevant economic conditions are therefore beneficial to this end. For example, credit card and loan risk profiles can be developed to ensure that future issues are targeted at the most appropriate prospects. In another example, health-care databases can be scrutinized for spurious claims, most effective treatment among many available, and the effects of health maintenance and prevention, among others. Again, ACLI can help to improve deeper understanding and better decision planning under these conditions and there many implied contingencies.
SOFTWARE FORENSICS:
Our software forensics team is capable of evaluating new and difficult situations -- such as catastrophic software failure -- and developing solutions within a short time. We are comfortable with virtually any software system and can integrate methods within and across any existing or legacy software.
SYSTEM AUTOMATION, ANALYSIS AND MAINTENANCE:
ACLI's methods can be automated across our client's enterprise so that they require only as much knowledge and expertise as is appropriate or desired. We provide the necessary training and software so that they can understand and use our methods for their particular purposes. We can seamlessly integrate any new software into virtually any existing or legacy systems.
Home